Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 77.5%
Defensive zone
Shaw 74.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 82.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Shaw
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Shaw
Sobotka
Last 9: Shaw 1-8 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
3
Shaw
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
4
Shaw
Sobotka
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Shaw
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
62.0% (637)
-18.1%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
62.6% (91)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
60.0% (85)
-14.5%
On power play, Sobotka has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Sobotka is 68.1% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Shaw
Sobotka
Home
46.3% (363)
65.8% (371)
Away
39.9% (321)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Shaw
Sobotka
P1
47.4%
63.0%
P2
43.0%
61.4%
P3
40.0%
60.7%
OT
46.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 17, 2013 | OT | 03:49 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |