Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Sobotka 55.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 67.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 69.2%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Roy
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Sobotka
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Sobotka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
3
Roy
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
57.0% (398)
-11.7%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
63.9% (36)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
50.0% (72)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Sobotka is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Roy
Sobotka
Home
44.9% (354)
58.3% (252)
Away
46.4% (293)
54.7% (254)
By Period
Roy
Sobotka
P1
47.0%
55.6%
P2
47.2%
58.5%
P3
42.5%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |