Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.9%). Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 50.8% vs Sobotka 51.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 73.5%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 57.4%
Neutral zone
McKegg 59.8%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
McKegg
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McKegg
Sobotka
Last 7: McKegg 1-6 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
McKegg
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
2
McKegg
Sobotka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
2
McKegg
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (281)
52.9% (522)
-1.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
46.7% (15)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.1% (76)
-46.1%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
McKegg shoots left. Sobotka is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
McKegg
Sobotka
Home
51.1% (133)
53.8% (314)
Away
51.0% (153)
49.8% (299)
By Period
McKegg
Sobotka
P1
48.9%
52.2%
P2
48.9%
52.2%
P3
54.9%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |