Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Sobotka 55.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 72.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 51.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 64.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Thornton
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thornton
Sobotka
Last 6: Thornton 5-1 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Sobotka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
57.0% (398)
+0.0%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
63.9% (36)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (50)
50.0% (72)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Thornton shoots left. Sobotka is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Thornton
Sobotka
Home
56.7% (353)
58.3% (252)
Away
60.3% (348)
54.7% (254)
By Period
Thornton
Sobotka
P1
59.3%
55.6%
P2
60.1%
58.5%
P3
57.1%
56.9%
OT
47.6%
14.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |