Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 54.6% vs Sobotka 51.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.1%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 55.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 60.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kadri
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kadri
Sobotka
Last 5: Kadri 4-1 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (704)
52.9% (522)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
46.7% (15)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.1% (76)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Kadri is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Kadri shoots left. Sobotka is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Kadri
Sobotka
Home
53.1% (367)
53.8% (314)
Away
57.3% (363)
49.8% (299)
By Period
Kadri
Sobotka
P1
49.8%
52.2%
P2
53.7%
52.2%
P3
61.9%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
55.2%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |