Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.4% vs 58.1%). Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 60.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 57.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Raty
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Raty
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Raty
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
58.6% (597)
-1.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
57.9% (57)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
51.9% (52)
+6.4%
On power play, Raty has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Raty
Karlsson
Home
57.1% (168)
59.6% (344)
Away
57.6% (165)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Raty
Karlsson
P1
62.4%
53.1%
P2
56.7%
62.1%
P3
53.3%
60.1%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
65.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |