Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 66.9%
Defensive zone
Little 58.2%
Neutral zone
Little 61.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Little
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Little
Karlsson
Last 5: Little 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
47.4% (1,012)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
45.6% (136)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
53.5% (86)
-10.2%
On power play, Little has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Little is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Little shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Little
Karlsson
Home
53.6% (491)
47.7% (658)
Away
51.5% (511)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Little
Karlsson
P1
55.4%
46.6%
P2
50.6%
47.2%
P3
52.1%
49.1%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Bryan Little |