Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 47.6% vs Karlsson 51.7% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 72.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 91.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 72.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Little
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Little
Karlsson
Last 6: Little 5-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Little
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (87)
52.9% (719)
-6.9%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
53.5% (101)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
45.2% (126)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Little is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Little shoots right. Karlsson is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Little
Karlsson
Home
50.0% (48)
54.1% (547)
Away
41.4% (58)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Little
Karlsson
P1
42.1%
49.5%
P2
42.4%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
52.3%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |