Charlie Coyle vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 65.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 84.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 72.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Coyle
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Coyle
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
5
Coyle
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
58.6% (597)
-9.1%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
57.9% (57)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
51.9% (52)
-8.5%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Coyle
Karlsson
Home
47.4% (409)
59.6% (344)
Away
50.0% (360)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Coyle
Karlsson
P1
50.8%
53.1%
P2
46.0%
62.1%
P3
48.4%
60.1%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%