Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Guttman wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 51.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 73.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 73.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 59.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Guttman
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Guttman
Karlsson
Last 5: Guttman 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guttman
1
0
Guttman
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Guttman
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guttman
1
0
Guttman
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (161)
55.3% (897)
-4.4%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
61.1% (113)
+13.9%
On power play, Guttman has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Guttman is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Guttman shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Guttman
Karlsson
Home
59.3% (59)
58.6% (560)
Away
48.2% (110)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Guttman
Karlsson
P1
46.2%
55.8%
P2
51.8%
55.6%
P3
60.4%
55.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
52.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Cole Guttman |