David Backes vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.3%). Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 54.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 56.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 56.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Backes
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Backes
Karlsson
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
5
Backes
Karlsson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
6
Backes
Karlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
5
Backes
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
51.8% (7,849)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
54.8% (1,048)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
44.2% (1,109)
+3.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Backes
Karlsson
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Backes
Karlsson
P1
50.1%
50.3%
P2
51.5%
51.3%
P3
50.8%
52.4%
OT
42.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | William Karlsson |