Gabriel Vilardi vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 49.6% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 81.0%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 80.2%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 77.1%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Vilardi
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Vilardi
Karlsson
Last 7: Vilardi 1-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
5
Vilardi
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vilardi
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (113)
58.6% (597)
-14.4%
Power Play
64.1% (39)
57.9% (57)
+6.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Vilardi is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Vilardi shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Karlsson
Home
38.5% (39)
59.6% (344)
Away
53.1% (113)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Vilardi
Karlsson
P1
52.6%
53.1%
P2
35.3%
62.1%
P3
61.4%
60.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | William Karlsson |