John Mitchell vs William Karlsson
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mitchell wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 93.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 65.2%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 81.1%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Mitchell
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mitchell
Karlsson
Last 6: Mitchell 5-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
1
Mitchell
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
47.2% (786)
+8.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
54.5% (11)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
35.6% (163)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Mitchell shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Karlsson
Home
61.9% (265)
46.4% (478)
Away
49.1% (273)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Mitchell
Karlsson
P1
54.9%
44.8%
P2
56.8%
45.6%
P3
54.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |