Leon Draisaitl vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 62.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 68.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Draisaitl
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
17
(22 meetings)
5
17
Draisaitl
Karlsson
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
6
Draisaitl
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Draisaitl
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
5
10
Draisaitl
Karlsson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
58.6% (597)
-4.9%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
57.9% (57)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
51.9% (52)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Karlsson
Home
55.2% (636)
59.6% (344)
Away
53.4% (560)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Draisaitl
Karlsson
P1
50.8%
53.1%
P2
56.6%
62.1%
P3
54.0%
60.1%
OT
67.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |