Mitchell Stephens vs William Karlsson
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 51.9%). Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.0% vs Karlsson 51.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 50.3%
Defensive zone
Stephens 73.8%
Neutral zone
Stephens 59.6%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Stephens
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Stephens
Karlsson
Last 8: Stephens 2-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
5
Stephens
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
1
Stephens
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (296)
52.9% (719)
+1.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.5% (101)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
45.2% (126)
+1.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stephens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Stephens shoots right. Karlsson is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Stephens
Karlsson
Home
54.8% (177)
54.1% (547)
Away
50.3% (179)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Stephens
Karlsson
P1
55.4%
49.5%
P2
50.4%
53.2%
P3
52.6%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |