Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.6%). Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rask 47.9% vs Karlsson 47.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 61.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.7%
Neutral zone
Rask 50.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Rask
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rask
Karlsson
Last 6: Rask 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
0
Rask
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Rask
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Rask
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rask
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (397)
47.4% (1,012)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
45.6% (136)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
53.5% (86)
-3.5%
On power play, Rask has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Rask is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Rask shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Rask
Karlsson
Home
50.0% (202)
47.7% (658)
Away
45.2% (228)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Rask
Karlsson
P1
51.1%
46.6%
P2
43.2%
47.2%
P3
48.5%
49.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |