Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Rask wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rask 46.2% vs Karlsson 53.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 78.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 65.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Rask
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Rask
Karlsson
Last 10: Rask 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
6
3
Rask
Karlsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
Rask
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
4
3
Rask
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rask
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (442)
55.5% (659)
-10.0%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
59.3% (172)
-14.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Rask shoots left. Karlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Home / Away
Rask
Karlsson
Home
45.6% (228)
53.9% (488)
Away
45.2% (252)
54.1% (471)
By Period
Rask
Karlsson
P1
45.1%
50.5%
P2
45.5%
54.8%
P3
45.8%
56.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |