Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Nylander 48.4% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 60.3%
Defensive zone
Benn 52.6%
Neutral zone
Nylander 56.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Benn
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Benn
Nylander
Last 5: Benn 2-3 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Nylander
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
1
3
Benn
Nylander
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
46.0% (100)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
52.6% (19)
+5.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Nylander is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Benn
Nylander
Home
60.5% (349)
53.6% (69)
Away
62.0% (363)
38.0% (50)
By Period
Benn
Nylander
P1
60.8%
51.5%
P2
60.1%
37.5%
P3
62.4%
55.3%
Final 5 min
62.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |