Scouting Report
William Nylander holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 46.9% vs Nylander 51.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 57.0%
Defensive zone
Shaw 63.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 54.1%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Shaw
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Shaw
Nylander
Last 9: Shaw 4-5 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
1
2
Shaw
Nylander
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Nylander
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Nylander
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (157)
51.7% (574)
-5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
47.9% (73)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (43)
66.7% (3)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Shaw is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Shaw shoots right. Nylander is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Shaw
Nylander
Home
44.8% (96)
51.8% (336)
Away
45.8% (107)
51.0% (314)
By Period
Shaw
Nylander
P1
46.3%
53.6%
P2
45.6%
44.4%
P3
43.6%
55.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |