Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.6%). Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nylander 50.0% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Nylander leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nylander 68.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 79.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 56.7%
Result
William Nylander favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nylander
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Nylander
Smith
Last 10: Nylander 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
6
1
Nylander
Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Nylander
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nylander
3
2
Nylander
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nylander
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,869)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.3%
Power Play
46.9% (228)
51.2% (342)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (31)
45.3% (985)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Nylander is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,519).
Nylander shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Nylander
Smith
Home
51.3% (1,186)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.3% (942)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Nylander
Smith
P1
51.3%
49.9%
P2
45.6%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
50.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | William Nylander |