Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Wyatt Johnston
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Johnston 50.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 80.8%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 61.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 68.2%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Kuznetsov
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kuznetsov
Johnston
Last 5: Kuznetsov 1-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Kuznetsov
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Kuznetsov
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
50.7% (552)
-6.3%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
61.5% (13)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
43.5% (69)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Johnston
Home
48.6% (370)
50.3% (342)
Away
41.4% (377)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Johnston
P1
44.3%
54.4%
P2
49.6%
47.2%
P3
41.4%
49.4%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 01:26 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:07 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |