Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Johnston 51.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 93.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 51.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 73.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Draisaitl
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Draisaitl
Johnston
Last 8: Draisaitl 8-0 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
0
Draisaitl
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
52.6% (696)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
52.3% (88)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
42.4% (125)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Johnston
Home
55.2% (636)
52.8% (458)
Away
53.4% (560)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Draisaitl
Johnston
P1
50.8%
48.9%
P2
56.6%
52.3%
P3
54.0%
51.4%
OT
67.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |