Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 52.1% vs Johnston 51.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 69.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 90.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 61.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 90.9%
9.1%
90.9%
Rantanen
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Rantanen
Johnston
Last 7: Rantanen 0-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
7
Rantanen
Johnston
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (188)
52.6% (696)
+2.7%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
52.3% (88)
-6.0%
On power play, Johnston has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rantanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Rantanen shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Johnston
Home
57.3% (143)
52.8% (458)
Away
47.3% (112)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Rantanen
Johnston
P1
47.8%
48.9%
P2
56.8%
52.3%
P3
54.5%
51.4%
OT
37.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |