Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Wyatt Johnston
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Johnston 44.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 50.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 3-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
42.5% (318)
+2.9%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
55.6% (9)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
62.5% (8)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Home
46.1% (336)
40.5% (168)
Away
44.2% (346)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
P1
49.1%
46.9%
P2
45.3%
40.4%
P3
42.0%
41.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |