Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Gourde 41.8% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 71.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 50.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Shaw
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Shaw
Gourde
Last 7: Shaw 3-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Shaw
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Shaw
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
39.8% (128)
+16.5%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
25.0% (12)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
26.1% (23)
-9.4%
On power play, Shaw has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Shaw is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Shaw shoots right. Gourde is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Shaw
Gourde
Home
58.1% (234)
43.2% (95)
Away
50.5% (204)
27.9% (68)
By Period
Shaw
Gourde
P1
53.8%
43.1%
P2
58.3%
33.3%
P3
52.0%
34.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |