Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Gourde 49.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 61.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 93.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 86.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Kuznetsov
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Kuznetsov
Gourde
Last 10: Kuznetsov 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
6
0
Kuznetsov
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Kuznetsov
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
3
Kuznetsov
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
49.1% (731)
-5.8%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
54.3% (81)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
48.2% (85)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Gourde
Home
43.9% (602)
50.9% (479)
Away
43.1% (564)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Gourde
P1
43.2%
51.2%
P2
41.5%
49.8%
P3
45.2%
47.5%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |