Scouting Report
Laurent Dauphin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dauphin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dauphin wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dauphin 52.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.4%
Defensive zone
Dauphin 51.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Dauphin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dauphin
Gourde
Last 8: Dauphin 4-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dauphin
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dauphin
2
1
Dauphin
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Dauphin
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dauphin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (152)
49.1% (847)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
39.5% (81)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Dauphin has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dauphin is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Dauphin shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Dauphin
Gourde
Home
52.9% (87)
50.1% (491)
Away
54.3% (70)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Dauphin
Gourde
P1
59.0%
54.7%
P2
46.8%
45.0%
P3
57.1%
49.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
53.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Laurent Dauphin |