Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 75.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.4%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Rossi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rossi
Gourde
Last 7: Rossi 1-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Rossi
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
4
Rossi
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Rossi
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
51.2% (469)
-4.7%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
42.9% (21)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
37.5% (48)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Rossi
Gourde
Home
47.5% (520)
47.8% (301)
Away
46.0% (472)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Rossi
Gourde
P1
47.8%
47.3%
P2
44.2%
53.4%
P3
48.7%
48.6%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | OT | 02:16 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |