Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sasson wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sasson 46.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sasson 70.7%
Defensive zone
Sasson 64.7%
Neutral zone
Sasson 66.6%
Result
Max Sasson favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Sasson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sasson
Gourde
Last 8: Sasson 2-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Sasson
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Sasson
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sasson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (108)
51.2% (469)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
37.5% (48)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Sasson is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Sasson shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Sasson
Gourde
Home
44.1% (59)
47.8% (301)
Away
41.2% (51)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Sasson
Gourde
P1
48.7%
47.3%
P2
40.5%
53.4%
P3
37.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
40.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Sasson |