Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 66.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 79.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 75.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Geekie
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Geekie
Gourde
Last 8: Geekie 6-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
1
Geekie
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
48.0% (914)
-4.3%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
54.2% (48)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
43.9% (123)
+6.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Geekie
Gourde
Home
45.3% (329)
50.2% (512)
Away
42.9% (331)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Geekie
Gourde
P1
41.2%
50.0%
P2
45.0%
45.3%
P3
46.2%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |