Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laczynski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laczynski 48.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laczynski 70.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.3%
Neutral zone
Laczynski 57.7%
Result
Tanner Laczynski favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Laczynski
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Laczynski
Gourde
Last 5: Laczynski 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laczynski
1
0
Laczynski
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Laczynski
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Laczynski
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laczynski
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (37)
51.2% (469)
-8.0%
On even strength, Gourde has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Laczynski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Laczynski shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Laczynski
Gourde
Home
43.5% (23)
47.8% (301)
Away
42.9% (14)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Laczynski
Gourde
P1
31.3%
47.3%
P2
30.0%
53.4%
P3
72.7%
48.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laczynski
52.0%▲
49.5%
43.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tanner Laczynski |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |