Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 47.8%). Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Teravainen 48.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 73.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 77.7%
Neutral zone
Teravainen 51.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Teravainen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Teravainen
Gourde
Last 5: Teravainen 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
1
0
Teravainen
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Teravainen
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Teravainen
1
0
Teravainen
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Teravainen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (107)
48.0% (914)
-1.3%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
54.2% (48)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
43.9% (123)
+6.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Teravainen is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Teravainen shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Teravainen
Gourde
Home
50.9% (57)
50.2% (512)
Away
44.6% (83)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Teravainen
Gourde
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
40.8%
45.3%
P3
43.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
47.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |