Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gourde wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dalpe shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gourde 48.2% vs Dalpe 47.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 62.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Gourde
Dalpe
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Gourde
Dalpe
Last 9: Gourde 8-1 Dalpe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
0
Gourde
Dalpe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dalpe
0
1
Gourde
Dalpe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
0
Gourde
Dalpe
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gourde
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (4,954)
46.3% (458)
+2.1%
Power Play
57.4% (376)
65.0% (20)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (554)
25.0% (12)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Gourde shoots left. Dalpe is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Gourde
Dalpe
Home
49.3% (2,915)
45.8% (238)
Away
47.2% (2,969)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Gourde
Dalpe
P1
49.9%
44.6%
P2
47.4%
50.6%
P3
47.5%
43.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |