Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +25.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dalpe shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Dalpe 46.0% (+25.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 50.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 86.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 75.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Larsson
Dalpe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Dalpe
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Dalpe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dalpe
0
1
Larsson
Dalpe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Dalpe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Dalpe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
27.3% (22)
+27.5%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
50.0% (2)
-13.6%
On even strength, Larsson has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Larsson is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Larsson shoots left. Dalpe is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Larsson
Dalpe
Home
57.5% (301)
17.6% (17)
Away
51.8% (338)
57.1% (7)
By Period
Larsson
Dalpe
P1
54.8%
42.9%
P2
49.1%
33.3%
P3
60.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
60.4%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
29.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Zac Dalpe |