Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hertl wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hyman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Hyman 49.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 75.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 81.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Hertl
Hyman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hertl
Hyman
Last 5: Hertl 4-1 Hyman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
0
Hertl
Hyman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Hyman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Hyman
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
54.9% (51)
-3.3%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
100.0% (1)
-39.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
36.4% (33)
+7.7%
On power play, Hyman has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hyman shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Hertl shoots left. Hyman is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Hertl
Hyman
Home
55.2% (696)
65.7% (35)
Away
50.0% (770)
36.0% (50)
By Period
Hertl
Hyman
P1
55.4%
51.7%
P2
54.8%
44.8%
P3
48.9%
44.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Hyman
44.0%▲
42.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |