Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Parise on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Parise 49.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parise 67.6%
Defensive zone
Parise 61.3%
Neutral zone
Parise 62.5%
Result
Zach Parise favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Richards
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Richards
Parise
Last 8: Richards 2-6 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
1
Richards
Parise
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Parise
2
5
Richards
Parise
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (776)
44.4% (54)
+5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (130)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (145)
57.1% (7)
-2.6%
On power play, Parise has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Richards shoots left. Parise is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Richards
Parise
Home
47.2% (549)
55.0% (20)
Away
54.1% (518)
44.2% (43)
By Period
Richards
Parise
P1
52.5%
60.9%
P2
50.9%
36.8%
P3
47.5%
42.1%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zach Parise |