Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +28.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sanford shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Sanford 46.0% (+28.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sanford 68.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 74.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 59.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
McBain
Sanford
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McBain
Sanford
Last 5: McBain 4-1 Sanford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Sanford
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Sanford
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
15.4% (13)
+29.9%
On even strength, McBain has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Sanford is 14.3% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
McBain
Sanford
Home
45.5% (437)
25.0% (4)
Away
42.4% (403)
11.1% (9)
By Period
McBain
Sanford
P1
43.5%
25.0%
P2
44.0%
25.0%
P3
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
15.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Zachary Sanford |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jack McBain |