Scouting Report
John Hayden holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayden 51.3% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayden 50.6%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 61.7%
Neutral zone
Hayden 52.1%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Hayden 2-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Hayden
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayden
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (56)
48.3% (271)
+5.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
71.4% (7)
-71.4%
On power play, Hayden has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Hayden is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Hayden shoots right. Ostapchuk is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Home
45.0% (20)
49.3% (140)
Away
57.9% (38)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Hayden
Ostapchuk
P1
62.5%
49.1%
P2
52.0%
48.9%
P3
47.1%
47.5%
Final 5 min
62.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayden
46.0%▲
39.4%
53.4%
Ostapchuk
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | John Hayden |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | John Hayden |