Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.6%). Look for Ostapchuk on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 62.1%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 55.3%
Neutral zone
MacLean 52.7%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
MacLean
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
MacLean
Ostapchuk
Last 8: MacLean 1-7 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
MacLean
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
MacLean
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
4
MacLean
Ostapchuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
48.3% (271)
-0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
25.0% (4)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
71.4% (7)
-10.5%
On power play, MacLean has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
MacLean
Ostapchuk
Home
47.6% (273)
49.3% (140)
Away
48.8% (293)
47.9% (142)
By Period
MacLean
Ostapchuk
P1
45.5%
49.1%
P2
48.8%
48.9%
P3
50.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |