Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.2%). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 52.4%
Defensive zone
Komarov 51.5%
Neutral zone
Komarov 55.2%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Komarov
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
48.5% (612)
+0.1%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
28.6% (7)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
46.8% (62)
-1.2%
On power play, Komarov has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Komarov
Ostapchuk
Home
49.2% (537)
48.6% (319)
Away
45.7% (591)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Komarov
Ostapchuk
P1
47.6%
48.2%
P2
47.3%
45.8%
P3
47.5%
50.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%