Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.3% vs Smith 51.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 57.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 56.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 58.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Barkov
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Barkov
Smith
Last 10: Barkov 2-8 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Barkov
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
6
Barkov
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (895)
53.6% (550)
-4.5%
Power Play
49.6% (141)
53.5% (71)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (120)
43.5% (108)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Barkov is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Barkov shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Barkov
Smith
Home
48.0% (544)
56.5% (352)
Away
50.3% (612)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Barkov
Smith
P1
44.6%
52.0%
P2
51.4%
51.5%
P3
50.9%
52.2%
OT
69.2%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |