Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Schenn wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 44.1% vs Smith 52.5% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 84.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 64.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 75.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Schenn
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Schenn
Smith
Last 6: Schenn 1-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
5
Schenn
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (635)
53.0% (1,048)
-10.3%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
57.4% (47)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.0% (196)
+2.9%
On even strength, Smith has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Schenn is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Schenn shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Schenn
Smith
Home
45.4% (324)
53.9% (629)
Away
41.3% (361)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Schenn
Smith
P1
40.8%
50.4%
P2
47.3%
51.8%
P3
40.5%
56.4%
OT
57.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2013 | OT | 02:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Zack Smith |