Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Smith 49.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 70.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 69.0%
Neutral zone
Rowney 58.9%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Rowney
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rowney
Smith
Last 5: Rowney 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
0
Rowney
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
50.9% (666)
-1.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
70.0% (10)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
39.6% (144)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Rowney shoots right. Smith is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Rowney
Smith
Home
51.0% (143)
50.9% (405)
Away
48.0% (204)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Rowney
Smith
P1
49.6%
47.1%
P2
47.7%
49.6%
P3
50.9%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |