Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Smith 46.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 75.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 83.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 87.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Cizikas
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cizikas
Smith
Last 7: Cizikas 5-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
44.7% (190)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
40.0% (10)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
45.2% (31)
+4.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Cizikas shoots left. Smith is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Smith
Home
56.5% (446)
46.8% (111)
Away
47.4% (409)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Cizikas
Smith
P1
57.0%
44.6%
P2
51.0%
43.6%
P3
48.7%
46.2%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |