Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 51.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 50.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Tierney
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tierney
Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
51.2% (342)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
45.3% (985)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Tierney
Smith
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Tierney
Smith
P1
49.3%
49.9%
P2
47.7%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
51.9%
OT
47.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Zack Smith |