Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.1% vs Smith 51.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 62.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 81.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 70.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Giroux
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Giroux
Smith
Last 10: Giroux 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Giroux
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Giroux
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Giroux
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (1,285)
53.6% (550)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.0% (405)
53.5% (71)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (191)
43.5% (108)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Giroux is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Giroux shoots right. Smith is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Giroux
Smith
Home
58.4% (942)
56.5% (352)
Away
56.5% (939)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Giroux
Smith
P1
60.8%
52.0%
P2
54.7%
51.5%
P3
57.8%
52.2%
OT
49.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Zack Smith |