Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Adams wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Smith 49.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 63.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 65.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 57.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Adams
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Adams
Smith
Last 9: Adams 6-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
4
1
Adams
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Adams
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (170)
48.0% (761)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (118)
49.5% (196)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Adams is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Adams shoots right. Smith is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Adams
Smith
Home
45.8% (131)
49.9% (523)
Away
44.7% (161)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Adams
Smith
P1
46.4%
47.5%
P2
48.2%
50.4%
P3
42.1%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Craig Adams |