Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Smith 53.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 61.0%
Defensive zone
Brière 57.7%
Neutral zone
Brière 57.9%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Brière
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brière
Smith
Last 5: Brière 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Brière
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Brière
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
1
0
Brière
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
58.1% (322)
-11.2%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
36.8% (19)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
32.6% (46)
+34.1%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Brière is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Brière shoots right. Smith is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Brière
Smith
Home
49.2% (427)
58.8% (204)
Away
47.1% (393)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Brière
Smith
P1
48.2%
52.9%
P2
49.5%
56.3%
P3
46.7%
51.9%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |