Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.2% vs Smith 52.5% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 69.1%
Defensive zone
Bolland 54.8%
Neutral zone
Bolland 60.2%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Bolland
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bolland
Smith
Last 6: Bolland 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Bolland
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (303)
53.0% (1,048)
-7.8%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
57.4% (47)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
50.0% (196)
-2.6%
On power play, Smith has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bolland is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Bolland shoots right. Smith is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Bolland
Smith
Home
49.5% (200)
53.9% (629)
Away
38.7% (137)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Bolland
Smith
P1
49.6%
50.4%
P2
45.5%
51.8%
P3
39.3%
56.4%
OT
66.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
43.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |