Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 25-14 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 53.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 63.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Backes
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
25
(39 meetings)
14
25
Backes
Smith
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
9
Backes
Smith
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
12
Backes
Smith
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
4
Backes
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
51.6% (5,265)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
51.2% (342)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
45.3% (985)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Backes
Smith
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Backes
Smith
P1
50.1%
49.9%
P2
51.5%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
51.9%
OT
42.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 1, 2016 | OT | 01:33 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |